Wednesday, February 1, 2012

Game over, man

It's over.

Mitt Romney has wrapped it up. He won Florida yesterday, and that means there's no chance for anyone else in the GOP race.

Newt Gingrich supporters? Hate to break it to you, but it's time to pack it in.

Rick Santorum followers? The writing's on the wall.

Ron Paul supporters? The nurse will be by shortly with your medications. And a fresh supply of tin foil.

The 2012 Republican primary season is done. There's no way anyone can catch Mitt Romney. Just look:
Graph from The New York Times
See?

After the big win in Florida, Mitt Romney has 71 delegates. He only needs ... let's see, 1,144 to win, minus 71 already won, leaves 1,073 ... Oh. My. Goodness. He only needs 1,073 delegates to win.

Let's look at the upcoming primary calendar, do the math, and see where things stand.

If Romney wins every delegate in every race, he would surpass the magic number of 1,144 as early as April 3.

What about Gingrich? If he were to somehow win every delegate in every state from here on out, he wouldn't reach 1,144 until April 3, 2012.

Rick Santorum? Heck, if he won every delegate in every upcoming race, he wouldn't hit 1,144 until April 3.

Ron Paul? Well, if he went on a winning streak and won every delegate in every primary and caucus, he wouldn't pass 1,144 until April 3.

So, there you have it.

Romney can mathematically wrap this thing up in just over two months, on April 3, 2012. That's a done deal.

Meanwhile, none of the the other three could lock it up until April 3, 2012. And that's an impossible task.

Hey, don't get angry with me. Numbers don't lie.

Newscasters and party establishment will, but numbers won't.

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